基于能力映射的体系网络化建模与分析

从体系所具有的能力出发,准确地描述体系中实体之间的关系,建立体系结构模型是体系设计与分析的基础,也是基于能力的体系规划的关键。首先提出了能力到组分系统的映射规则,然后将所构建的体系二分网络转化为组分系统的加权合作网络,有效描述了体系组分系统间的复杂关系。最后给出了体系组分系统关系价值度量指标,并对网络模型进行社团结构分析,为基于能力的体系规划作了有益尝试。     

Optimal timing of switches between product sales for sports and entertainment tickets

Like airlines and hotels, sports teams and entertainment venues can benefit from revenue management efforts for their ticket sales. Teams and entertainment venues usually offer bundles of tickets early in their selling horizon and put single‐event tickets on sale at a later date; these organizations must determine the best time to offer individual tickets because both types of ticket sales consume the same fixed inventory. We model the optimal a priori timing decision for a seller with a fixed number of identical tickets to switch from selling the tickets as fixed bundles to individual tickets to maximize the revenue realized before the start of the performance season. We assume that bundle and single‐ticket customers each arrive according to independent, nonhomogeneous Markovian death processes with a linear death rate that can vary over time and that the benefit from selling a ticket in a package is higher than from selling the ticket individually. We characterize the circumstances in which it is optimal for the seller to practice mixed bundling and when the seller should only sell bundles or individual tickets, and we establish comparative statics for the optimal timing decision for the special case of constant customer arrival rates. We extend our analytical results to find the optimal time for offering two groups of tickets with high and low demand. Finally, we apply the timing model to a data set obtained from the sports industry. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

Optimal resource allocation and redistribution strategy in military conflicts with Lanchester square law attrition

We address the problem of optimal decision‐making in conflicts based on Lanchester square law attrition model where a defending force needs to be partitioned optimally, and allocated to two different attacking forces of differing strengths and capabilities. We consider a resource allocation scheme called the Time Zero Allocation with Redistribution (TZAR) strategy, where allocation is followed by redistribution of defending forces, on the occurrence of certain decisive events. Unlike previous work on Lanchester attrition model based tactical decision‐making, which propose time sequential tactics through an optimal control approach, the present article focuses on obtaining simpler resource allocation tactics based on a static optimization framework, and demonstrates that the results obtained are similar to those obtained by the more complex dynamic optimal control solution. Complete solution for this strategy is obtained for optimal partitioning of resources of the defending forces. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

返回舱垂直着陆过程动力学研究

在考虑着陆场地面弹塑性特点的情况下,建立了返回舱垂直着陆过程的弹塑性接触模型。数值分析结果表明,返回舱的着陆过程与地面土壤的物理性质有很大关系,在相同的弹性模量下,土壤的极限应力越大,则着陆过载最大值就越大,着陆过程中的能量损失就越小,返回舱的"跳跃"现象越明显。     

空防对抗武器装备对比优势评估模型

针对战役对抗准备和兵力部署的需要,根据兰切斯特动态方程,从作战能力入手,建立了空防对抗武器装备对比优势评估模型,提出了一种异类武器装备对比优势的定量计算方法。给出了应用该方法的具体步骤,通过算例分析,验证了模型的合理性,该模型对其他武器装备的对比优势评估具有一定的参考价值。     

基于运载能力评估的固体运载火箭推力向量控制方案比较

从对运载能力影响角度开展固体运载火箭发动机推力向量控制系统比较分析研究。设计了三种采用不同发动机推力向量控制系统的多级固体运载火箭方案,将增广乘子法与共轭方向法相结合,对固体运载火箭上升段弹道进行了优化设计,给出运载能力评估结果。研究表明,起飞质量均为50 000kg,目标轨道均为300km太阳同步轨道时,采用栅格舵和侧喷流作为推力向量控制系统方案,比采用燃气舵和侧喷流作为推力向量控制系统方案,运载能力提高70kg,比各级固体发动机全部采用摆动喷管控制方案,运载能力提高115kg,为固体运载火箭总体方案论证提供理论依据。     

The challenges of Iraq: putting US Army stability operations doctrine to the test

The US Army develops doctrine as a set of fundamental principles that guide its actions in support of national objectives. Recently, those national objectives required stability operations, with increasing scope and frequency. This study examines whether existing US Army doctrine adequately fulfilled its role as a guide to tactics in addressing the challenges that Army forces faced in the first 15 months of the war in Iraq. Field Manual 3-24 Counterinsurgency has remedied many deficiencies, but several remain to be addressed to offer commanders better guidance in the face of the many complex challenges they face in stability operations.     

Controlled warfare: how directed-energy weapons will enable the US Military to fight effectively in an urban environment while minimizing collateral damage

US military operations are increasingly conducted within urban environments and with these operations come the risk of increasing the number of civilian casualties and infrastructure damage. The use of non-lethal weaponry, such as directed-energy weapons, is one method for minimizing collateral damage. This method enables US military forces to effectively fight within urban environments through force escalation capabilities. Using a series of historical examples and future scenarios for urban warfare, this article highlights deficiencies affecting military capabilities in military urban operations, addresses the consequences of collateral damage, assesses the effectiveness of directed-energy weapons in military urban operations and encourages further funding, research and integration of non-lethal weaponry, such as directed-energy weapons, within the US military.     

Did the Panamanian Defense Forces conduct infiltration operations at the Arraijan Tank Farm in 1988?

This article reviews the circumstances surrounding a relatively obscure and almost forgotten US Marine Corps and Army security enhancement operation undertaken in Panama that commenced in early April of 1988. Marines were sent to Panama to protect oil and ammunition storage facilities from potential saboteurs. By April 1989 they had reported sighting armed, uniformed intruders on at least 43 occasions and receiving gunfire or discharging their own weapons during 16 incidents. Yet despite the repeated barrages of small arms fire over the course of a year, they failed to recover enemy ammunition, bodies or body parts and their own equipment and positions displayed no signs of suffering from hostile fire. This article analyzes the events from the point of view of a veteran of the operation and highlights the role that psychological operations may have played in generating the situation.